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06/23/2005 Entry: "Turning Point"

"The world may no longer have a swing producer of oil, but this period can probably be viewed as a swing period of history. By that I mean a period when we hoped that there was a quick and easy way to keep the oil flowing westward and found out that it wasn't so. The time is now coming when the American public won't tolerate a dozen US casualties a week, nevermind fifty Iraqis. But Americans won't tolerate $5 a gallon gasoline, either. We'll now see how the public will reconcile these intolerances."
Turning Point, by Jim Kunstler

Of course there's more of this and it's interesting reading.

Did bushco really invade Iraq to keep the oil flowing or did they do it because they're really insane? Or both?

and

"Iraq is not Vietnam, all right, because there is no way the US can pull out now without severe consequences, namely the loss of our access to all the oil in the Middle East -- where two-thirds of the world's remaining oil is."

I wonder. If he's thinking Iraq without the under-staffed, under-equipped, over-taxed, poorly-trained, and generally fucked-up US Military's boot on its neck (as if) will destabilize the entire Middle East, I think he's got another think coming. The US Military is what's destabilizing Iraq; the rest of the Middle East seems like it couldn't care less what's going on there. And why should they? Even if their fellow Muslims wanted to help their co-religionists in Iraq, the US would chase them out. Probably, if the US Military just left, I mean all of it and all at once and for good, Iraq would fall apart, but I don't see how that would cause the countries around it to fall apart. The closest I can get to something to compare it to is that Yugoslavia's break-up didn't destabilize Turkey, Austria, or Hungary, so why would Iraq destabilize Turkey, Iran, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Syria? I think those countries would probably take their own chunks out of what was Iraq, which was merely lines on a map the Brits drew on their way out, and stabilize it themselves. The jihad is against the US and the US Military, even 9/11 was partly about US troops still in Saudi Arabia 10+ years after Bush I's big adventure in the Middle East; take the salt out of the wound and it might start to heal.

And then, of course, there's money, and if selling the oil means money, then they'll sell it until there isn't any more to sell. The oil embargoes or whatever they were of the mid-70s were much worse than what's happening now or happened during the Islamic Revolution in Iran.

I do think seriously bad oil days are coming, but not because Iraq is going to throw the Middle East into crisis. I think we're facing $5+/gallon for gas and this will destabilize the US economy when people simply can't afford to get to their jobs. I further believe the longer the US Military is in the Middle East, the worse, not better, things will get. And, yes, the US is going to have to eat crow for decades over this, so the sooner it starts, the sooner it will end. It won't end in my lifetime, but I'd at least like to see the US do something right again in my lifetime. It's been a long five years and no end in sight.

God damn bushco into whatever hell it deserves.

 

 

 

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